1st Quarter 2021 FNB Property Broker Survey of Rental Market Conditions – Brokers perceive recovery in Industrial and Retail market activity, but little sign of rising activity in the Office Market.

As the country emerges from COVID-19-related lockdowns, the hard lockdown having been in April and May 2020, high frequency data points to quite a lengthy road back to “full” recovery for the economy.

In this report, we discuss the 2nd quarter 2020 results of the rental market component of our FNB Commercial Property Broker Survey, which surveys a sample of commercial property brokers in and around the 6 major metros of South Africa, namely, City of Joburg and Ekurhuleni (Greater Johannesburg), Tshwane, Ethekwini, City of Cape Town and Nelson Mandela Bay.

2nd Quarter 2019 StatsSA employment data for the Finance, Real Estate and Business Services Sector suggests likely slowing demand for office space.

A few months on from the May general election, a somber mood is once again settling in in the country, and one senses that there is a feeling that structural policy reforms that had been hoped for under a new presidency are not easily going to be forthcoming.

Over the past 20 years, the period 1st quarter 1999 to 1st quarter 2019, the consumer has cumulatively “outperformed the economy, assisting the Retail Property Market to outperform other major property sectors over much of this period.

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